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The Future of Eastern Europe

By Central Intelegence Agent

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Book Id: WPLBN0000704878
Format Type: PDF eBook
File Size: 159.89 KB.
Reproduction Date: 2006

Title: The Future of Eastern Europe  
Author: Central Intelegence Agent
Language: English
Subject: Government publications, CIA research reports, National security.
Collections: CIA Documents Collection
Publication Date:
Publisher: Central Intelegence Agent


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Agent, C. I. (n.d.). The Future of Eastern Europe. Retrieved from http://cn.ebooklibrary.org/

Excerpt: Key Judgments Communist p;arty rule in Eastern Europe is finished, and it will not be revived. This and the lifting of Soviet hegemony create new opportunities for establishing representative democracies and self-sustaining market economies. The way will also open for new modes of regional political and economic cooperation. The greatest impetus is the resolve of East Europeans and their leaders to achieve reforms by emulating Western economic and political modeIs) The evolution of the region will make the designation Eastern Europe increasingly imprecise, as East-Central European countries-Poland, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, and East Germany-move ahead in closer association with the West, and the Balkans-Bulgaria, Romania, and Albania-settle into a more separate role. Yugoslavia, if it holds together, will continue close ties to the West. ?In some East European countries, however, we will see political instability and perhaps even a revival of authoritarianism, amidst lingering economic backwardness and reemerging ethnic animosities. Despite Western aid and investment, the East European economies-excluding that of East Germany-are likely to make only uneven progress during the five-year time span of this Estimate.-) Ultimately, prospects for healthy democracy will be closely tied to the way in which East Europeans resolve their systemic economic crisis: Western aid will be essential, especially in the early stages, to make up the capital deficit required to cushion any transition to market economies.


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